Development of a new ground-motion model for the UK using the hybrid empirical-stochastic method


In this evening meeting, the results of a project funded by the Royal Academy of Engineering and in collaboration with Jacobs will be presented. In this project, we developed a new UK ground-motion model using a state-of-the-art method (hybrid empirical-stochastic method) and UK data. Capturing of the considerable epistemic uncertainties in ground-motion prediction for the UK, where data are sparse, was a particular focus of our project. Additionally, we sought to facilitate the use of the model in future seismic hazard assessments by providing simplified backbone representations of the model. We will present a summary of the project and the impact of the new model on assessed seismic hazard for some typical UK sites.

About the Speakers

Dr John Douglas is a Senior Lecturer at the University of Strathclyde (Glasgow, UK) working in the fields of seismic hazard and risk evaluation. He has been consultant to various seismic hazard assessments for critical infrastructure (e.g. Hinkley Point C). Previously (2004-2015) Dr Douglas was a senior engineering seismologist at BRGM (French Geological Survey). From 2009 to 2014 he was a visiting professor at the Earthquake Engineering Research Centre, University of Iceland. He obtained his Ph.D in Civil and Environmental Engineering (Engineering Seismology) in 2001, following a B.Sc. Hons (First Class) degree in Mathematics (both from Imperial College London, UK). In 2010, he was awarded his accreditation to supervise research (Habilitation à diriger des recherches) in seismology by the University of Grenoble (France).

Further information

This event is organised by SECED. The event will be chaired by Guillermo Aldama-Bustos (Jacobs). Attendance at this meeting is free for members and non-members alike. 

In person attendance

The event will held in-person at the Institution of Civil Engineers (see map below). Prior registration is not required. Seats are allocated on a first come, first served basis. Tea, coffee and biscuits will be served from 5.30 - 6 pm. We encourage everyone to attend in person if they can. 

Online attendance

This event will be broadcast online. Please register for the event prior to joining. The registration process will provide you with the link you need to join the main event.

Link here

* Recording of the evening meeting is available here: 

Development of a new ground-motion model for the UK using the hybrid empirical-stochastic method | Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE)

Event Details

Event Date 28/02/2024 6:00 pm
Event End Date 28/02/2024 8:00 pm
Location Institution of Civil Engineers

Location Map